Market Risk Indicators
Anticipate housing market risk with trusted data
Get forward-looking market risk insights
Market Risk Indicators provide monthly probability of home price declines over the next 12 months, helping real estate, financial services, and investment teams identify markets with elevated downside risk and make more informed portfolio, valuation, and planning decisions.
Built by the same data science team behind Cotality HPI™ and HPI Forecast™, the indicators combine the latest housing analytics with extensive Core-Based Statistical Area (CBSA) economic data to support trusted market risk assessment.


Key product attributes
Datasets represented include Market Risk Indicators by CBSA and Market Risk Indicators by state. Sample fields include:
- Price decline probability >= 10%
- Price decline probability < 10%
- Unemployment rate
- Current annual population growth rate
- Months' supply of active SFR MLS listings
- Price volatility
- Percent distressed
- Percent high LTV
- AI-ready data (delivered with semantic companion files)
Pricing varies based on volume, geography, and delivery.
FAQ
What are Market Risk Indicators?
Market Risk Indicators provide monthly probabilities of home price declines over the next 12 months, helping organizations identify markets with elevated downside risk.
How can organizations use Market Risk Indicators?
Organizations can use the data to support risk analysis, asset valuation, market monitoring, demand forecasting, regulatory reporting, and quantitative modeling.
What geographies are included?
Market Risk Indicators are available by Core-Based Statistical Area (CBSA) and state, giving teams a practical view of housing market risk across key geographic levels.
What data points are included?
Sample fields include price decline probability, unemployment rate, population growth, months’ supply of active single-family listings, price volatility, distressed share, and high loan-to-value share.
What makes the indicators credible?
They are built by the same data science team behind Cotality HPI™ and HPI Forecast™ and combine current housing analytics with broad economic data to support trusted market risk assessment.
How can we help you?
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